In Phil Steele’s world, Ducks strong on both sides

I got all wrapped up in Phil Steele’s 2012 College Football Preview magazine this week. Say what you want about Athlon or Lindy’s, but Phil Steele is the best of the bunch, if for no other reason than the amount of material — including a multitude of quirky lists — he jams into his 344-page publication.

He’s not shy about trumpeting his own horn either. “The most accurate preseason magazine the last 14 years,” the headline screams on this year’s cover.

The return of Kenjon Barner, above, coupled with sophomore star De'Anthony Thomas and heralded true freshman Byron Marshall, makes Oregon's running back corps the third best in the nation, according to Phil Steele.

Like other college football previews, Phil Steele gives plenty of love to the south (six schools from the region, including four SEC schools, are in his top 10), but he’s also been bullish on the Ducks for some time.

Prior to the 2007 season, he surprised many when his magazine said Oregon was a national title contender — a prediction borne out until quarterback Dennis Dixon crumpled onto the Tucson, Ariz., turf five months later and the dreams of Duck fans died everywhere.

This preseason, Phil Steele has Oregon at No. 6 in his Top 40 (yes, he does a Top 40). Florida State is ranked No. 1, followed by Oklahoma, LSU, USC and Alabama. A year ago, the publication pegged the Ducks at No. 4, which is exactly where they ended up at season’s end.

In 2010, prior to the BCS National Championship Game season, Oregon was picked to finish No. 10, although Phil Steele added this qualifier, “With Jeremiah Masoli, the Ducks would have been a preseason Top 4 team … This team should be 7-0 and very confident when they head into USC on Oct. 30th.” We all know how right on the mark that turned out to be.

USC's receivers, including Marquise Lee, who gave the Ducks fits last season, are ranked the No. 1 group at that position in the country by Phil Steele.

I obviously take note of Phil Steele’s Top 40, but the section I always hone in on are the rankings for individual units (quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, offensive line, defensive line, linebackers, defensive backs, and special teams).

The magazine only ranks the top 30 to 40 units for each position group from around the country. Still, you get a good sense of where the strength of powerhouse programs reside with the season looming.

Going into this season, for the first time ever, all of Oregon’s individual units are ranked nationally. Running backs and offensive line received top billing (each unit was ranked the third-best in the nation), and each defensive unit fell somewhere between No. 11 and No. 18. The Ducks’ quarterback unit was pegged as the 38th best in the country; the receiving corps came in No. 31.

In comparison, prior to last season, Oregon’s receivers, defensive line and linebackers went unranked by Phil Steele. In 2010, quarterbacks, receivers and special teams weren’t mentioned.

So how does Oregon’s position group match up with USC’s (recall that many prognosticators predict the two will be undefeated when they meet Nov. 3 in Los Angeles)? As the chart to the right attests, each has four units ranked higher than the other.

Of course, injuries can quickly turn a perceived unit’s strength into a weakness, just as impact freshmen can transform a weakness into a strength. Prior to the 2007 season, the magazine judged Oregon’s quarterbacks as the 15th best in the nation. Once Dixon went down, followed by Brady Leaf and Nate Costa, well, it’s say safe to say the unit sunk about as far as it could go.

But on paper at least — make that Phil Steele’s glossy magazine paper — both Oregon and USC have power across the board entering this season.

Time to add another circle around Nov. 3 on the calendar.

 

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  • Sadiebelle95

    I think Steele is rating our RB and OL position groups a little bit high, but our LB group a bit low.

    • Phlduck

      DAT is one of the top 3 or 4 playmakers in the country, period. When you have a guy like that in your backfield, how do you not rate that group in the Top 4 or 5. Furthermore, with a 1400yd season, Kenyon will become the #2 rusher in Oregon History behind LMJ. The fact that he did a majority of this as a back up speaks to his talent level IMO.
        As far as the OL is concerned, how do you not rate that group in the Top 5. They have been one of the nations leaders in almost all rushing stats the since Chip got to Eugene and they are only getting better and better. Next years OL will be better than they are for this season, and the same for the 2014 season when all those guys are Srs. Jake Fisher will be a Top 40 pick as a Tackle and Hroniss will be an NFL player as well( probably in Rds 3 or 4). And I’m not even counting Kyle Long who has an NFL body and athletic talent. This is undoubtedly the most talent Oregon has ever had on the OL, not even close. Now, while they might not have many guys drafted after Jake and Hroniss, for the system that Oregon runs, these guys are perfect

  • Jasoncurtis1

    QB and WR have the most “potential” in the bunch.  If we can get 1 or 2 of those guys to get going in the WR corp it could be special.

  • ACE DuCk

    Thanks for the lowdown.

    I can’t get past Florida State at #1. Really?

  • Rabiduck

    Nice article about Phil Steele’s wonderful publication and his coverage of the Ducks.
    I think Oregon will be undefeated going into the Nov. 3 game against USC, but the Trojans are going to have to beat Stanford at Stanford before they play us.  They will be favored for that game, but Steele and the other pubs have Stanford as the third best team in the conference, even without Andrew Luck, and this will not be an easy win for USC.   Stanford recruited very well under Harbaugh, and Shaw is not a bad coach at all.   We’ll see whether USC gets that win.
    Steele does not give enough love to our linebackers, incidentally.  I’m not at all sure there is a better unit than Clay, Alonso and Lokombo in the conference.