Pregame Analysis, Nicholls State Colonels at Oregon

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The Ducks begin their season with an interesting ‘tune up’ game versus the Nicholls State Colonels from Thibodaux, Louisiana.  The Colonels’ win-loss record over the past couple three years isn’t impressive, however the team boasts three great players that could have big days if the Ducks don’t come to play.  Let’s examine what to watch out for as Oregon fans!

Nicholls State basic running formation with Washington in backfield

from Video

Nicholls State basic running formation with Washington in backfield

The first is running back Marcus Washington, No. 44, (above) a big and surprisingly fast runner.  Typically you will find him as the lone set back and from there he takes his read from the middle linebacker as he moves laterally with the pitch.  If the MLB moves around the DE, then Washington runs between the tackle and guard.  If the MLB stays home, he then runs wide (with blocking help from the two wide receivers on his side).

Nicholls State mid-range pass attacking the middle of the field

from Video

Nicholls State mid-range pass attacking the middle of the field

The next player (above) on our hip hop hit list is No. 85, Nick Scelfo.  The big TE for Nicholls State is a 6-4, 235 lb. chunk of beef.  Scelfo is not just a blocking tight end but is also effective at running routes and catching passes through the middle of the defense.  His stats include 22 receptions and  300 receiving yards, with an average of 13.6 yards per catch and two touchdown receptions.  He ranked second in the Southland Conference for tight ends in receptions, receiving yards and touchdowns.

Nicholls State short pass over middle of field

from Video

Nicholls State short pass over middle of field

The Ducks can counter this by playing tough, “in their face” man-to-man defense on this talented tight end.

Nicholls State defense against Oregon State in 2012

from Video

Nicholls State defense against Oregon State in 2012

The third on our list is linebacker, No. 25, Chris Bermond.  This 6-1, 235 lb. senior is set to break out in the Southland Conference, as last year he was second on the team in tackles.  Bermond was a factor against all of the Colonels’ opponents.  Even in the Oregon State game, where the Colonels suffered a 77-3 loss, Bermond had nine tackles and a TFL.  The Colonels are not afraid to load the box, as you can see in the above screen shot of the OSU game.

The Ducks, (now without Kenjon Barner) will utilize De’Anthony Thomas for more receiving touches than in the past couple of years, I believe.  DAT’s numbers have been pretty good and this year they should be great as he becomes more of a primary focus of the offense.  Each of the past two years, DAT has had 18 TDs and last year they consisted of 11 rushing, five receiving and two returns.  I project that he will double – or very nearly double – those numbers this year.

Oregon trickeration to free up DAT

from Video

Oregon trickeration to free up DAT

Above is an example of how DAT can be utilized, as we see KB heading for the north forty (sideline) in the Fiesta Bowl, which pulls the middle linebacker out with him.  With one of the two wide outs (see the bottom of the screen shot) heading downfield to help clear out that side, the other receiver comes in to either get the ball or help block for DAT (in the red circle).  You will notice the large red square, below, where the defense is nearly cleared out.

De'Anthony Thomas breaks into the open

from Video

De’Anthony Thomas breaks into the open

Once DAT gets the ball, he makes the first man miss and then tows seven Wildcats into the end zone.  KSU didn’t have an answer for this.  I certainly don’t think the Colonels will have one, either.

While the Colonels have some talented players and a very talented head coach, the fact that the vast majority of their assistant coaches are in their first year and none of the  coaches has been with the program longer than four years, will be telling in the final score.  I don’t mean to disrespect the Colonels or their fine program, but the Ducks could probably start their two’s and three’s and still score at will.

With time and coaching maturity, I think the Colonels could become one of the FCS’s better schools.  Head Coach Stubbs has a long history of innovative offensive coaching to anchor the program, and Nicholls State is a program we might see in the FCS playoffs, beating the pants off of bigger programs in years to come.

It just won’t be this year and it certainly won’t be against the Ducks.

 

Bob Laws

Flagstaff, Arizona

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Bob Laws

Bob Laws

Bob Laws is a 4th generation Oregonian – going back to 1850 - and Duck fan, graduating from South Eugene HS in 1978. Bob went immediately into the Marines and served for the next ten years. After the Marines, Bob met his wife Rena of 26 years. The budding family, moved from Eugene to Kentucky to care for Rena's grandmother, where his wife's family have been since the earliest settling of Kentucky. Finally getting to college, Bob graduated from UK in 1994. Bob had to call up either KPNW or KUGN on Sunday's to find out if the Ducks had won. After ten years, the family moved to Tennessee as business dictated and remained there for eight years. When his two daughters were entering high school, the family moved to Arizona. Interestingly, Bob's oldest daughter was born in Eugene (5th generation Oregonian) and his youngest daughter was born in Kentucky (gazillionith generation Kentuckian), so his family consists of both Pac12 and SEC followers, as his son still lives in Tennessee. Bob has his own blog at azwebfoot.blogspot.com where he can do his number crunching with glee. Bob enjoys his fishing and hunting in the high country of Arizona where he lives (elevation 7,000 feet).

  • Digger South

    This just blew my mind. I think you are fooling yourself if you think Nick St is going to lose like they did in Corvallis. Nick St has been training MMA all offseason. I expect a tightly contested game deep into the 4th quarter, when Danthony Thomas finally breaks a 90 yard TD for the close win, Ducks 28 Nick 24.

    • uoducky

      “Better to remain silent and be thought a fool than to speak out and remove all doubt.” – Abraham Lincoln