It’s Thanksgiving week. It’s also Civil War week. It’s the 119th Civil War. It’s also probably going to be one of the most lopsided Civil War games in a long time. This isn’t a knock on the Beavers. They have a first year coach, no experience at quarterback, and Oregon is playing as well as any team in the country.
The Beavers have a lot of potential in the coming years, just not this year. The Beavers’ starting quarterback at the beginning of the season, Seth Collins, was injured in Week 8, and now may return this week as a receiver.
Taking his place at quarterback have been freshmen Nick Mitchell and Marcus McMaryion. McMaryion has been announced the starter for this week. All of these quarterbacks are dual threat and need to be contained, as you will see in this play.
As you can see in the screenshot above, the Beavers are lined up in a standard three-receiver set, with the quarterback in the shotgun. The Wolverines, lined up across from them, are in a 4-3, with one of the linebackers in coverage.
At the snap, the Beaver offensive line is going to block whoever is in front of them, leaving the left defensive end to be the read man. The Beaver quarterback is reading the left defensive end. Foolishly, the end leaves his assignment.
As you can tell, the quarterback has all the space in the world to use his remarkable speed to make a big gain.
The Ducks defense is going to have to make sure not to overcommit and to stay on their assignments. This shouldn’t be too hard for a team who faces the read option every week.
This next play is something you should see a lot tomorrow with a young, struggling quarterback at the helm. As you can see in the screenshot above, the Beavers are lined up in a two-tight end, two-receiver set. The defense is lined up in a 4-3 defense again.
At the snap, the Beavers are going to fake the dive run. The Wolverine defense bites on the fake. This leaves the linebackers at a huge disadvantage to stopping the screen to the receiver. The quarterback turns and quickly fires it to the receiver.
The defensive backs are playing far off the line of scrimmage. So, when the receiver gets the ball, he has a ton of room to run.
The Ducks need to watch out for Beavers’ receiver Victor Bolden. He is a speedster and a playmaker. They will get him the ball on sweeps, screens, slants, deep post/go routes, and any other way possible. He must be contained, just like the quarterbacks.
Speaking of defense, the Beavers’ defense has been struggling as much as the Ducks defense has, giving up 35.6 points per game. So, let’s take a look at how they will try to stop the Ducks.
As you see, the Beavers are lined up in a 4-3 defense across from the Ducks offense, who are lined up in a four-receiver set with the quarterback in the gun.
At the snap, the Beavers’ defensive line is all staying home. This means that they are not going to get into the backfield much in order to force the quarterback to make a decision on whether to keep it or hand it off. The linebackers are the strength of the Beaver defense, so the goal is going to be to free them up to make plays.
The defensive line is able to swallow up the blocks and allow the linebackers to be free to roam. If they make a tackle, nine out of 10 times the result is a tackle for a small gain.
There is nothing special to what they do, but they execute it so well that it works.
This game is going to be a blowout. This is a rebuilding year for the Beavers. In the next two or three years, I would not be surprised if this team is contending for Pac-12 titles with the talent they have. Just not this year.
The only way this game goes the Beavers’ way is if Bolden and the McMaryion have the games of their career and the Ducks sustain some big injuries. Again, I really mean no disrespect to the school up North; the Ducks are just playing some of the best football in the country, and the Beavers are not. Ducks roll, 55-17.
“Oh, how we love to learn about our opponents on FishDuck.com.”
Football Opponent Analyst for CFF Network/FishDuck.com
Top photo by Kevin Cline
Rory Davidson: Rory (Football Analyst) is a sophomore at Oregon in the fall (Class of 2018). He has been a devout Stanford football fan since he was 2 months old and is excited about the energy and greatness Oregon sports has to offer. For the past 6 years he has been doing advanced data analytics for his high school football team and working alongside the coaches to understand how they strategize about the game. He wants to integrate more statistics into his analyses and try to help readers learn about and understand the future of sports.
FishDuck….you are one WEIRD Dude.
I’ve heard that before. Often people do not like my contrarian view to some topics, but being a football critic is who I am.
I will call it as I see it whether positive or negative, and I will never create anything to simply generate a response; I believe in everything I write.
If we were all in agreement, then there are fewer opportunities to learn and I do love the debates we have in our protected environment. More discussion creates more learning, which makes us all better fans. Let’s make the most of it!